Workshop on Frequency Domain Research in Macroeconomics and Finance


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Workshop on Frequency Domain Research in Macroeconomics and Finance
20–21 October 2011
Bank of Finland, Helsinki


Frequency domain methods are not regularly applied in economics, and yet there are now many different techniques available that allow us to analyze economic behavior at different cycle lengths or frequency responses, and the interactions between them.  Frequency domain methods are particularly relevant in macroeconomics where the time horizon for event  transmission and policy changes is important and difficult to capture with standard empirical techniques. The most obvious applications of frequency domain techniques in macroeconomics centre around the dynamics of economic growth, the relationship between money and prices, inflation dynamics and financial market integration.

The main objective of this workshop is to share innovative macroeconomic research using frequency domain methods and also to initiate greater collaboration between economists who work in this area.  A broader objective will be to demonstrate the usefulness of these techniques in empirical macroeconomics so as to generate wider acceptance of these techniques.

(Workshop material updated 24 October 2011)

 

 Programme

 
TAB WEBPART
 

 Thursday 20 October 2011

 
9.00 Opening words
Jouko Vilmunen, Bank of Finland
Patrick Crowley, Texas A&M University – Corpus Christi​
9.10​ Session 1 Macroeconomic growth
Chair​ Christian Richter, University of East London & INFER​
Presentation Overview using frequency domain techniques with US GNP growth data ​
Author(s)​ Patrick Crowley, Texas A&M University – Corpus Christi​
Paper
Presentation
Identification and reconstruction of oscillatory modes in U.S. business cycles using multivariate singular spectrum analysis
Author(s)
 
 
 ​
Andreas Groth, Ecole Normale Supérieure
Michael Ghil, Ecole Normale Supérieure
Stéphane Hallegatte, CIRED & Ecole Nationale de la Météorologie
Patrice Dumas, Ecole Normale Supérieure
Discussant​ Andrew Hughes Hallett, Georgia Mason University​
Paper
Presentation
The continuous wavelet transform: a primer
 ​
Author(s)
 ​
Luís Aguiar-Conraria, Universidade do Minho
Maria Soares, Universidade do Minho​
Comments Tommi A. Vuorenmaa, Triangle Intelligence​
10.40​ Coffee
11.00​ Session 2 Macro-finance
Chair​ Fredrik Andersson, Lund University​
Paper
Presentation
Volatility spillovers in Asian bond market: a wavelet analysis
 
Author(s)​ Lixia Loh, EDHEC-Risk Institute Asia, EDHEC Business School​
Paper
Presentation ​
Frequency-domain analysis of debt service in a macro-finance model for the euro area ​
Author(s)​ Jean-Paul Renne, Banque de France​​
Paper
Presentation​​
Wavelet analysis of real loans
 ​
Author(s)​ Michael Scharnagl, Deutsche Bundesbank​​
Discussant​ Peter Karpestam, Lund University​​
12.30​ Lunch, staff restaurant
14.00​ Session 3 Financial crises and contagion
Chair​ Martyna Marczak, University of Hohenheim​​
Paper
Presentation ​​
Short and long term growth effects of financial crises in developing countries​​​
Author(s)
 ​
Fredrik Andersson, Lund University​
Peter Karpestam, Lund University​
Paper
Presentation​​
Has the financial crisis changed the business cycle characteristics of PIIGS countries?
Author(s)
 ​
Christian Richter, University of East London
Andrew Hughes Hallett, George Mason University​​
Comments Hens Steehouwer, Ortec Finance Research Center​
Paper
Presentation
Is there a contagion? A frequency-domain analysis of stock market comovements during the subprime crisis
Author(s)​ Alexei Orlov, Radford University​
Comments​ Lixia Loh, EDHEC-Risk Institute Asia, EDHEC Business School​
15.30​ Coffee
16.00​ Session 4 Applications in macroeconomics
Chair​ Patrick Crowley, Texas A&M University – Corpus Christi​
Paper
Presentation
Productivity and unemployment scale-by-scale relationship
 ​
Author(s)
 
 
 ​
Marco Gallegati, Universitá Politecnica delle Marche
Mauro Gallegati, Universitá Politecnica delle Marche
James Ramsey, New York University
Willi Semmler, New School University​
Paper
Presentation
Real wages and the business cycle in Germany
 ​
Author(s)
 ​
Martyna Marczak, University of Hohenheim
Thomas Beissinger​, University of Hohenheim
Comments Jouko Vilmunen, Bank of Finland​
17.30​ Dinner​, personnel club
 
 

 Friday 21 October 2011

 
9.30​ Session 1 New methodological developments
Chair​ Marco Gallegati, Universitá Politecnica delle Marche​
Paper
Presentation  ​
Unit root tests with wavelets
 ​
Author(s)
 ​
Ramazan Gençay, Simon Fraser University
Yanqin Fan, Vanderbilt University​
Paper
Presentation
A zero phase shift band pass filter
 
Author(s)
 ​
Kai Ming Lee, Ortec Finance Research Center
Hens Steehouwer, Ortec Finance Research Center
Paper
Presentation
How to make a time series sing like a choir
 ​
Author(s)​ Patrick Crowley, Texas A&M University – Corpus Christi​
Discussant​ Jean-Paul Renne, Banque de France​
11.00​ Coffee
11.15​ Keynote address
Speech
Presentation
Retrospective: A decade's progress
James Ramsey, New York University​
12.15​ Lunch, auditorium lobby
13.45​ Session 2 Financial economics applications
Chair​ Alexei Orlov, Radford University​
Paper
Presentation​ 
A persistence based decomposition of macroeconomic and financial time series ​
Author(s)
 
 ​
Fulvio Ortu, Bocconi University & IGIER
Andrea Tamoni, Bocconi University
Claudio Tebaldi, Bocconi University & IGIER & CAREFIN​
Paper
Presentation
Credit and economic cycles  some stylised facts
 ​
Author(s)​ Feng Zhu, Bank for International Settlements​
Discussant​ Ramazan Gençay, Simon Fraser University​
15.00​ Closing words​
Jouko Vilmunen and Patrick Crowley​
 
 

 Photos

 
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Ramazan Gençay, Patrick Crowley, Jouko Vilmunen and Andrew Hughes Hallett

Keynote speaker James Ramsey

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Coffee break on Thursday, October 20

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