Program

Updated 15 November 2017

Each presentation lasts 45 minutes: 25 for presenter, 10 for discussant, 10 for general discussion

Thursday, 12 October

8.45-9.00 Registration

9.00-10.30 Session 1
Yunus Aksoy, Henrique Basso, Ron Smith, Tobias Grasl, "Demographic Structure and Macroeconomic Trends"
Download presentation (PDF)
Discussant: Christian Siegel (University of Kent)
Download presentation (PDF)

Thomas Cooley, Espen Henriksen, "The Demographic Deficit"
Download presentation (PDF)
Discussant: Per Krusell (IIES)
Download presentation (PDF)

10.30-11.00 Coffee break

11.00-12.30 Session 2

Shigeru Fujita, Ippei Fujiwara, "Declining Trends in the Real Interest Rate and Inflation. The Role of Aging"
Download presentation (PDF)
Discussant: Guido Ascari (Oxford University)
Download presentation (PDF)

Mikael Juselius, Elod Takats, "The Age-Structure-Inflation Puzzle"
Download presentation (PDF)
Discussant: Kozo Ueda (Waseda University)
Download presentation (PDF)

12.30-14.00 Lunch break

14.00-15.00 Keynote speech: Charles Goodhart, Manoj Pradhan, "Demographics Will
Reverse Three Multi-Decade Global Trends"
Download presentation (PDF)

15.00-15.15 Coffee break

15.15-16.45 Session 3

Gauti Eggertsson, Neil Mehrotra, Jacob Robbins, "A Model of Secular Stagnation. Theory and Quantitative Evaluation"
Download presentation (PDF)
Discussant: Michaela Schmöller (Aalto University, ECB)
Download presentation (PDF)

Claudio Borio, Piti Disyatat, Mikael Juselius, Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, "Why so low for so long? A long-term view of real interest rates"
Download presentation (PDF)
Discussant: Gregory Thwaites (Bank of England)
Download presentation (PDF)

16.45-19.00 Free time

19.00 Dinner

 

Friday, 13 October

9.00-10.30 Session 4

Timo Boppart, Per Krusell, Jonna Olsson, "Labor Supply in the Future. Who Will Work?"
Download presentation (PDF)
Discussant: Josep Pijoan-Mas (CEMFI)
Download presentation (PDF)

Gregory Ponthiere, Hippolyte d'Albis, Angela Greulich, "Development, Fertility, and Childbearing Age: A Unified Growth Theory"
Download presentation (PDF)
Discussant: Kathrin Komp (University of Helsinki)
Download presentation (PDF)

10.30-11.00 Coffee break

11.00-12.30 Session 5

Etienne Gagnon, David Lopez-Salido, Benjamin Johannsen, "Understanding the New Normal. The Role of Demographics"
Download presentation (PDF)
Discussant: Rana Sajedi (Bank of England)
Download presentation (PDF)

Giuseppe Ferrero, Marco Gross, Stefano Neri, "Secular Stagnation, Demographic Developments and Low Interest Rates"
Download presentation (PDF)
Discussant: Antti Ripatti (University of Helsinki)
Download presentation (PDF)

12.30-14.00 Lunch break

14.00-15.30 Session 6

Dirk Niepelt, "Domestic, External, and Implicit Debt and Default"
Download presentation (PDF)
Discussant: Niku Määttänen (Research Institute of the Finnish Economy)
Download presentation (PDF)

Mitsuru Katagiri, Hideki Konishi, Kozo Ueda, "Aging and Deflation from a Fiscal Perspective"
Download presentation (PDF)
Discussant: Giuseppe Fiori (North Carolina State University)
Download presentation (PDF)

15.30-16.00 Coffee break

16.00-17.30 Session 7

Alessandro Ferrari, "Looking behind the financial cycle: the neglected role of the demographic cycle"
Download presentation (PDF)
Discussant: Jouko Vilmunen (University of Turku)
Download presentation (PDF)

Julia Niemeläinen, "External Imbalances between China and the US. A dynamic analysis with a life-cycle model"
Download presentation (PDF)
Discussant: Ippei Fujiwara (Australian National University, Keio University)
Download presentation (PDF)

17.30 Adjourn

 

Scientific committee: Wouter den Haan, Adam Gulan, Esa Jokivuolle, Mikael Juselius, Jouko Vilmunen