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Helsinki, Finland
The European Workshop on Political Macroeconomics aims to bring together researchers working on topics at the intersections of political economy, macroeconomics, and institutional economics (both theoretical and empirical contributions). Papers addressing these issues in the context of emerging economies are particularly welcome.
PROGRAM:
Times in UTC +3
Monday (5 June 2023)
KEYNOTE SPEECH
Chair: Jan Fidrmuc (LEM, Université de Lille and BOFIT)
9:00 – 10:00 PAUL DE GRAUWE (London School of Economics)
What Can We Learn from Behavioral Macroeconomics?
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10:00 – 10:30 Coffee Break
Session 1: GEOPOLITICS
Chair: Jan Fidrmuc (LEM, Université de Lille and BOFIT)
10:30 – 11:15 Geopolitical risk perception
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Yevheniia Bondarenko (Deutsche Bundesbank), Vivien Lewis (Deutsche Bundesbank), Matthias Rottner (Deutsche Bundesbank) and Yves Schueler (Deutsche Bundesbank)
Discussant: Laura Solanko (BOFIT)
11:15 – 12:00 The Eurasian Roundabout: Trade Flows into Russia through the Caucasus and Central Asia
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Maxim Chupilkin (EBRD), Beata Javorcik (University of Oxford, EBRD and CEPR) and Alexander Plekhanov (EBRD)
Discussant: Heli Simola (BOFIT)
12:00 – 13:00 Lunch
Session 2: INSTITUTIONS
Chair: Iikka Korhonen (BOFIT)
13:00 – 13:45 Institutional Change and Persistence: What Does the Long–run Evidence Tell Us?
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Antonio Savoia (University of Manchester), Kunal Sen (UNU-WIDER) and Abrams Tagem (UNU-WIDER)
Discussant: Oleksandr Talavera (University of Birmingham)
13:45 – 14:30 Long-Run Effects of Colonial Land Redistribution: Evidence from India
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Kartikeya Batra (University of Maryland, College Park)
Discussant: Andrei Markevich (University of Helsinki)
14:30 – 15:00 Coffee Break
Session 3: INEQUALITY
Chair: Etienne Farvaque (LEM, Université de Lille)
15:00 – 15:45 Radical Religious Rule and Human Capital: Evidence from the Taliban Control in Afghanistan (1996-2001)
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Nikita Brunner (University of Lausanne) and Alexander Mihailov (University of Reading)
Discussant: Jakub Janus (Cracow University of Economics)
15:45 – 16:30 Unequal Political Business Cycles: Inequality, Policy Uncertainty and the Macroeconomy
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Alvaro Aguirre (Central Bank of Chile)
Discussant: Yuemei Ji (UCL)
Tuesday (6 June 2023)
Session 4: CENTRAL BANK COMMUNICATION
Chair: Alexander Mihailov (University of Reading)
09:00 – 09:45 Central Bank Communication on Social Media: What, To Whom, How?
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Yuriy Gorodnichenko (UC Berkeley), Tho Pham (University of York) and Oleksandr Talavera (University of Birmingham)
Discussant: Iikka Korhonen (BOFIT)
09:45 – 10:30 Influencing Public Trust in Central Banks: Identifying Who Is Open to New Information
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Bernd Hayo (Philipps-Universität Marburg) and Pierre-Guillaume Méon (Université libre de Bruxelles)
Discussant: Zuzana Fungáčová (BOFIT)
10:30 – 11:00 Coffee Break
Session 5: CRISES EXPERIENCE
Chair: Lena Dräger (Leibniz University Hannover)
11:00 – 11:45 Recession Aversion at the Bank of England: Insights from Monetary Policy Committee Members’ Votes
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Arnab Bhattacharjee (Heriot-Watt University and NIESR); Etienne Farvaque (LEM, Université de Lille); Franck Adonis Malan (Department of Finance Ireland), and Piotr Stanek (Krakow University of Economics)
Discussant: Eeva Kerola (BOFIT)
11:45 – 12:30 Angry Men and Civic Women? Gendered Effects of Conflict on Political Participation
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Elodie Douarin (University College London), Julie Litchfield (University of Sussex) and Fatlinda Gashi (Independent researcher)
Discussant: Denis Davydov (HANKEN)
12.30-13.30 Lunch
Session 6: FISCAL POLICY
Chair: Laura Solanko (BOFIT)
13:30 – 14:15 The Political Costs of Austerity
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Ricardo Duque Gabriel (University of Bonn), Mathias Klein (Sveriges Riksbank) and Ana Sofia Pessoa (University of Bonn)
Discussant: Amélie Barbier-Gauchard (University of Strasbourg)
14:15 – 15:00 Public Debt Sustainability and Fiscal Rules in Central and Eastern Europe
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Jérôme Creel (OFCE, SciencePo Paris), Marek Dąbrowski (Cracow University of Economics), Etienne Farvaque (LEM, Université de Lille), Jakub Janus (Cracow University of Economics), Sandrine Levasseur (OFCE, SciencePo Paris), Piotr Stanek (Cracow University of Economics)
Discussant: Lena Dräger (Leibniz University Hannover)
15:00 – 15:30 Coffee Break
Session 7: POLITICAL ECONOMY
Chair: Zuzana Fungáčová (BOFIT)
15:30 – 16:15 Prudent Populists? The Short-term Macroeconomic Impact of Populist Policies in Poland
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Michal Brzezinski (University of Warsaw) and Katarzyna Sałach-Dróżdż (University of Warsaw)
Discussant: Etienne Farvaque (LEM, Université de Lille)
16:15 – 17:00 The Economic Consequences of War: Estimates Using Synthetic Controls
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Maxim Chupilkin (EBRD) and Zsoka Koczan (EBRD)
Discussant: Jan Fidrmuc (LEM, Université de Lille and BOFIT)
Scientific Committee
Etienne Farvaque (Université de Lille)
Jan Fidrmuc (Université de Lille and BOFIT)
Zuzana Fungáčová (BOFIT)
Iikka Korhonen (BOFIT)
Philipp Harms (Johannes-Gutenberg-Universität Mainz)
Alexander Mihailov (University of Reading)
Laurent Weill (Université de Strasbourg)
Local Organizing Committee
Jan Fidrmuc (Université de Lille and BOFIT) and Zuzana Fungáčová (BOFIT)
Further Information
See https://sites.google.com/site/ewpmhome/ or contact Jan Fidrmuc, jan.fidrmuc(at)univ-lille.fr